>> MEANWHILE, WISCONSIN IS
FEELING THE BERN.
IN TONIGHT'S INSIDE LOOK, THE
NEW MARQUETTE LAW SCHOOL POLL
HAS BERNIE SANDERS IN A DOUBLE
DIGIT LEAD AGAINST DEMOCRATIC
PRIMARY CHALLENGERS IN
WISCONSIN.
WE CHECK IN WITH POLL DIRECTOR
CHARLES FRANKLIN.
THANKS VERY MUCH FOR BEING HERE.
>> GOOD TO BE HERE.
>> WELL, SO YOUR POLLING SHOWS A
29% FAVOR SANDERS, 13 BUTTIGIEG,
11 KLOBUCHAR AND 9% WARREN.
THINGS REALLY HAVE CHANGED SINCE
YOUR LAST POLL FOR JOE BIDEN.
>> THAT'S RIGHT.
AND WHAT'S HAPPENED BETWEEN
THOSE TWO IS IOWA AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE.
WE WERE FINISHING UP POLLING
AFTER KNEE VA NEVADA VOTED.
IT'S THE FIRST TIME SANDERS HAS
LED IN THE POLLS WE'VE BEEN
DOING ALMOST MONTHLY SINCE
AUGUST.
IT'S ALSO A FALL FOR BIDEN.
HE HAD LED EACH PREVIOUS POLL
AND NOW FALLS NOT EVEN TO
SECOND, BUT TO THIRD PLACE.
MIKE BLOOMBERG, WHO HAS BEEN
DOWN IN SINGLE DIGITS, BUMPS UP
INTO SECOND PLACE.
AND FINALLY ELIZABETH WARREN,
WHO HAD BEEN IN THE TOP TIER OF
CANDIDATES, HAS FALLEN OFF TO
NOW SIXTH PLACE.
>> ANOTHER QUESTION IN YOUR POLL
SHOWED THAT THE THREE TOP
DEMOCRATIC PICKS ALSO HAVE LIKE
THESE REALLY HIGH UNFAVORABLES.
IS THIS LIKE HOLDING YOUR NOSE
AND VOTING?
>> WELL, THERE ARE TWO SIDES TO
THIS.
AMONG JUST DEMOCRATIC VOTERS,
MOST OF THEM ARE SEEN PRETTY
FAVORABLE.
THE ONE EXCEPTION IS BLOOMBERG.
BUT AMONG THE ENTIRE ELECTORATE,
ALL OF THEM, WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF AMY KLOBUCHAR, ARE MORE
NEGATIVELY VIEWED THAN DONALD
TRUMP IS, WHICH IS SUPPORT OF A
SURPRISE.
BUT THE REASON IS THAT
REPUBLICANS ARE COMPLETELY
UNITED IN LIKING TRUMP AND
DISLIKING ALL OF THE DEMOCRATS.
BUT WITHIN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY,
BETWEEN 20% AND 25% HAVE
UNFAVORABLE VIEWS OF THEIR OWN
CANDIDATES.
THE REASON IS THAT THEY HAVE A
FIRST CHOICE AND THAT PERSON
GETS 90% FAVORABILITY, BUT THEN
THEY HAVE RESERVATIONS ABOUT THE
OTHER DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES.
IT WILL PROBABLY COME TOGETHER
ONCE THERE'S A NOMINEE.
RIGHT NOW IT'S HOLDING DOWN
DEMOCRATIC FAVORABILITY.
>> SO ANOTHER QUESTION YOU ASKED
WAS WHETHER OR NOT PEOPLE HAD
MADE U MINDS, AND YOU
FOUND THAT 56% OF DEMOCRATIC
RESPONDENTS SAY THEY MIGHT
CHANGE THEIR MIND.
IS THAT A HIGH NUMBER AT THIS
TIME?
>> IT'S KIND OF HIGH.
IT'S BEEN COMING DOWN GRADUALLY
OVER THE LAST FOUR MONTHS.
SO IT MAY BE HIGH, BUT IT'S LESS
HIGH THAN IT WAS A LITTLE WHILE
AGO.
ALSO, REMEMBER, WE ARE SO EARLY
IN THE PROCESS REALLY OF VOTING.
SOUTH CAROLINA AND THEN SUPER
TUESDAY AND THEN MORE MARCH
EVENTS WILL ALL AFFECT WHO IS
STILL A CANDIDATE BY THE TIME WE
VOTE IN APRIL.
SO IN THAT SENSE, IT MAY BE
REALISTIC FOR DEMOCRATS TO SAY I
COULD CHANGE MY MIND BECAUSE I
DON'T ACTUALLY KNOW WHO WILL
STILL BE A VIABLE CANDIDATE.
>> WOULD A BIG WIN FOR BIDEN IN
SOUTH CAROLINA CHANGE THE
TRAJECTORY OF THIS THING?
>> IT'S HARD TO SAY.
IT'S CLEAR THAT IF HE LOSES
SOUTH CAROLINA OR JUST BARELY
EKES OUT A WIN, THAT PUTS HIS
CAMPAIGN IN REAL TROUBLE FOR
DOING WELL ON SUPER TUESDAY.
A STRONGING FINISH, THOUGH,
GIVES HIM THE OPPORTUNITY TO DO
WELL.
BUT IT'S UNCLEAR WHETHER IT
WOULD PROPEL VICTORY ON SUPER
TUESDAY.
SO MORE OF A RISK ON THE
DOWNSIDE.
>> THE AGE OF BERNIE SANDERS'
BACKERS HAS CHANGED A LITTLE BIT
IN THIS LATEST SURVEY.
18 TO 29-YEAR-OLDS STILL BY FAR
THE BIGGEST SUPPORTERS.
BUT THE OLDER SET IS KIN
WARMING UP TO HIM.
>> I THINK THAT'S AN IMPORTANT
POINT.
HE HAS ALWAYS, IN 2016 AS WELL
AS THIS YEAR, DONE WAY BETTER
WITH YOUNGER VOTERS AND FALLEN
OFF QUITE A BIT WITH OLDER
VOTERS.
BUT IN THIS FEBRUARY POLL WE SEE
HIM CRACKING 20% SUPPORT AND
ABOVE WITH SOME OF THE OLDER
VOTERS.
THAT'S SOMETHING HE HAD NOT DONE
BEFORE.
AND IT SHOWS THAT HIS RISE THIS
MONTH IS COMING ACROSS THE AGE
SPECTRUM IN EVERY GROUP THAT'S
MORE SUPPORT THAN IT WAS A MONTH
AGO.
>> AS FOR REPUBLICAN
RESPONDENTS, THEY THINK
BLOOMBERG IS THE BIGGEST THREAT
TO TRUMP.
YOU ALSO FOUND 10% OF
REPUBLICANS EXPECT TO CROSS OVER
IN THE PRIMARY AND VOTE FOR WHO?
>> WELL, THAT'S AN INTERESTING
QUESTION.
WITH JUST 10%, IT'S HARD TO
KNOW.
THERE'S NOT ENOUGH CASES TO HAVE
MUCH OF AN IDEA.
SOME OF THOSE PEOPLE MAY BE
ANTI-TRUMP REPUBLICANS WHO ARE
CROSSING OVER.
SOME MAY BE CROSSING OVER TO
MAKE MISCHIEF IN THE OTHER
PARTY.
AND FINALLY LET'S REMEMBER, WE
HAVE AN OPEN PRIMARY LAW HERE.
>> RIGHT.
>> IT'S EVERY CITIZEN'S RIGHT TO
VOTE IN WHICHEVER PRIMARY THEY
WANT TO VOTE IN.
THEY DON'T HAVE TO BE PRE
PREDECLARED AS A DEMOCRAT OR
REPUBLICAN.
>> SANDERS SLIGHTLY EDGES TRUMP,
BUT BIDEN HAS A NINE-POINT LEAD
LAST TIME.
>> YEAH.
ONE OF THE THINGS THAT SHIFTED
HERE IS THAT HE, BIDEN, HAD LED
AGAINST TRUMP IN ALL BUT ONE OF
OUR POLLS THIS FALL.
SOMETIMES CLOSE, SOMETIMES NOT
SO CLOSE.
BUT NOW TIED.
SANDERS HAS BEEN JUST BARELY
AHEAD OF TRUMP IN MOST AND
BEHIND IN ONE AND THAT'S
BASICALLY WHERE HE IS RIGHT NOW.
I THINK THE BOTTOM LINE, THOUGH,
IS THAT THE NOVEMBER RACE IS
SUPER CLOSE.
>> EP WHY.
>> ALL THESE ARE INSIDE THE
MARGIN OF ERROR.
IT'S A LONG, LONG WAYS TO
NOVEMBER.
>> ALL RIGHT.
CHARLES FRANKLIN, THANKS VERY
MUCH.
>> THANK YOU.
>> THIS AM PRACTICING NOTE.
STATE SUPREME COURT CANDIDATES
WILL FACE OFF IN A PBS,
WISCONSIN PUBLIC RADIO DEBATE ON
FRIDAY NIGHT, MARCH 27.
WPR'S SHAWN JOHNSON WILL JOIN ME
TO CO-MODERATE THE ONE-HOUR LIVE