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so that big budget deal that
got voted down in the

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Wisconsin legislature.
Turns out it's really

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popular. What can we make
of that finding? In the

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latest poll by Marquette
University? And Tom,

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Tiffany has the Republican
field largely to himself as

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he runs for governor. We
talk about his approach.

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This is inside Wisconsin
politics.

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I'm Shawn Johnson
here with my colleagues,

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here with my colleagues,
Zac Schultz Anya van

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Wagtendonk and Rich Kremer
in Eau Claire. Hey,

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everyone.
>> So we have used the word

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rare to describe this
budget surplus deal more

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than once in the last few
weeks. I mean, it's rare to

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see a Democratic governor
and Republican leaders come

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together to negotiate
something like this in an

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election year. Rare to see
this kind of bipartisan

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opposition kind of
backstabbing after the vote.

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Rich, I'd say it's rare to
see this kind of a poll

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from Marquette University,
where you have such

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lopsided support in favor
of any issue. What did

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Marquette find?
>> So they found that among

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the 454 Wisconsin residents
that they surveyed, 80%

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said that the legislature
should have passed the

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surplus spending deal. And
what's really striking, to

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your point, is that when
you break that down by

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partisanship, the numbers
don't vary that much. Among

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Republicans, it was 77% who
said that it should have

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passed. Independents 81%.
Democrats 80%. So that is a

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I mean, that's a strong
majority of people cutting

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across all partisan
demographics who wanted to

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see this thing get passed.
And the poll also asked

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questions about, you know,
are you going to remember

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this in the fall? ET cetera.
ET cetera. And some people

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said they will. And it's
just really fascinating. I

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talked to Charles Franklin,
who's Marquette's pollster,

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and he said he wanted to do
this poll, which is

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different than others,
because it was really

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interesting to him to see
the bipartisan birth of

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this legislation and the
bipartisan death of it. So

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he wanted to see where the
public stood.

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>> When you saw those
numbers come out, Zac Ana,

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what stood out to you? I
mean, to me, I think the

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obvious top line number 4
or 5 is, is sort of eye

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popping. I would not have
imagined that level of

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support for any bill that
comes out of Wisconsin

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legislature.
there are two things that

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jumped out at me. The first
is we talked about it from

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the very beginning. This
was the definition of a

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bipartisan bill that the
public has repeatedly said

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they want their lawmakers
to do. And two, this is why

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we do not legislate by
referendum. The public will

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always support something
that gives them money, no

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matter the fiscal
complications down the road.

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And they hate nuance. Most
people in the state just

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want things done in a sane
fashion. They don't like to

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get into the details of
what will it mean for the

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structural deficit in two
years that they're worried

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about their gas tank today?
So it's not. If anything,

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it's surprising there
weren't more people that

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wanted this deal done
closer to 90% because it

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looked like a win win for
everybody. But it is those

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little nitty details that
the Democrats and some

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Republicans jumped on to
say why this didn't get

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passed.
>> Ana how about you? I

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mean, to me, this finding
sort of puts the way that

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people reacted to this bill
in kind of a new light. You

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know, I remember asking you
last week, why would some

68
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Democrats not want to come
out against this when other

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Democrats are. Well, maybe
we have a pretty good

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answer here.
>> Well, yeah, I think, you

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know, we've talked about it
as a messaging tool as well.

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And there is to Zac's
point, there's like the

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nuanced messaging and the
unnuanced messaging. And

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one of those is more is
easier to resonate with

75
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voters. And so you can kind
of say, do you want money

76
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in your pocket or not? Do
you want money for your

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schools or not? And most
people, I think, are going

78
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to say, yes, I would like
money in my pocket. I would

79
00:04:03,677 --> 00:04:05,779
like money in my schools
having the more complicated

80
00:04:05,846 --> 00:04:07,748
messaging. You know, the
opponents of the deal are,

81
00:04:07,814 --> 00:04:10,717
are the ones who are going
to really have their work

82
00:04:10,784 --> 00:04:13,554
cut out for them because
they have to kind of prove

83
00:04:13,620 --> 00:04:16,490
a negative and say, well,
but if we had done this,

84
00:04:16,557 --> 00:04:18,592
there would have been this
deficit. We would have had

85
00:04:18,659 --> 00:04:20,794
to live under, you know,
austerity measures going

86
00:04:20,861 --> 00:04:22,663
forward. That's a much more
complicated thing than, do

87
00:04:22,729 --> 00:04:25,532
you want 300 bucks in your
bank account or not?

88
00:04:25,599 --> 00:04:28,602
>> Yeah, I will say that
when I saw this poll, my

89
00:04:28,669 --> 00:04:30,637
immediate thought was, well,
you didn't tell them about

90
00:04:30,704 --> 00:04:33,707
the other side of this,
that if you do this thing,

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00:04:33,774 --> 00:04:36,543
you're going to blow a $2.9
billion hole in the budget.

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Actually, the Marquette did
ask about that, rich. They

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they said in so many words,
you know, that this could

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create budget issues down
the road. And, you know, do

95
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you really want to do this
now? And the public said.

96
00:04:47,754 --> 00:04:50,357
>> They said, we don't care.
I mean, they might care,

97
00:04:50,424 --> 00:04:53,927
but they said that we still
think that it would be

98
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better to get this money to
schools and to ourselves in

99
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the form of property tax
relief and rebate checks,

100
00:05:01,168 --> 00:05:05,639
$300 for single adults and
tax filers and 600 for

101
00:05:06,807 --> 00:05:09,610
married couples. So they
said it'd be better now

102
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than next year, even
considering the potential

103
00:05:12,646 --> 00:05:16,183
for a nearly a $3 billion
budget deficit going into

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00:05:16,250 --> 00:05:19,019
the next state budget. And
I also wanted to mention

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that it has been really
interesting seeing the

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opposition. Almost every
major candidate in the race

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for governor was against it.
Tom Tiffany on the

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Republican side and on the
Democratic side, the only

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Democrat who came out and
said we should be

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supporting this is former
Wisconsin Economic

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director, CEO Missy Hughes.
And so after the vote

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failed and especially after
this poll came out, she

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said, see, you know, this
is why, you know, I want to

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get things done. People
want to get things done. So

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it's going to be
interesting to see what, if

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any, ads, campaign attack
ads come from this because

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essentially, you know,
Tiffany would have to say

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they didn't pass the thing
that I didn't support or

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vice versa, you know? So
it'll be really interesting

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to see if it if it plays
into the campaigns much.

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>> I also wonder if this
was just another window

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into an issue that we
already know is, is big and

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that is the cost of living.
People feel that cost of

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living. And when you ask
them, would you like a

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little help might sound
like a little in terms of

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the state budget and 300
bucks, you know, you can

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say that's not going to
solve all their problems,

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but the answer is a
resounding yes when you ask

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that question.
>> Well, it's the number

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one issue that people have
been talking about for more

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than a year now.
Affordability has been an

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issue. It was an issue in
the 24 presidential

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campaign. So in some ways,
it's surprising that all

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these major candidates
dropped the ball. And,

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Shawn, I'll turn around the
point that Rick brought and

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brought back to you, which
is it seems like a lot of

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these major candidates
other than Missy Hughes

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have flubbed their chance
to have themselves a really

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nice issue to campaign on
in the fall. If there's

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anyone that would take back
their opposition, do you

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think there's 1 or 2
candidates that would be

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better off if they'd been
supportive?

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>> Maybe. Maybe. I think
for Democrats, they have to

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focus on winning that
primary. And so in the

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moments after this thing
was made public, they had

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to decide what is the left
position and how close do I

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want to get to that? And
they made those

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calculations. You know, I
think in hindsight, seeing

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an 80% issue, maybe you
would want to be on the

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side of the 80%, especially
when Democrats and

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independents basically feel
the same way about that

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stuff. I think it's an open
question, though, about

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whether or not when we've
talked about this before,

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but whether or not they'll
pay the price for this in

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November, I should say, you
know, voters were asked

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about that Rich and whether
or not they'll be thinking

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about this as they vote in
November. How important is

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it to them? Would they say
they're.

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>> So 73% of the
respondents said that this

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you know, where candidates
stood on this. Them

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opposing this legislation
will be either somewhat or

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very important to them come
November. And I asked

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Charles Franklin about this,
you know, because in in our

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world in November, might as
well be three years away in

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terms of how fast things
can change on the campaign

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trail. And he said, well,
people might not remember

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individual votes on this
specific bill, but to

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Zac's point, Franklin said
that cost of living

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affordability, property
taxes, school funding have

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been and will likely
continue to be top of mind

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for them.
>> Yeah, I'm tempted to say

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I don't believe you voters.
You know, something else is

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going to come along between
now and November. But still,

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that is a pretty
overwhelming finding from

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people right now saying,
yeah, I'm going to remember

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this. How about the
candidates for governor

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specifically, though?
Because that was one where

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I thought the findings were
a little squishier more.

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This is more the Wisconsin
I know when people are

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presented with this idea of
whether or not they thought

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it was wrong for Tom
Tiffany to take a stand

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against this, or for other
Democratic candidates to

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take a stand against this
as more as closer to 50/50.

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Right. You had it seems
like Democrats and

185
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Republicans may be willing
to give their candidate the

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benefit of the doubt. If
you hear the right

187
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messaging between now and
November on you.

188
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>> Yeah. You know, one of
the sort of upsetting

189
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truths for those of us who
really care about facts and

190
00:09:31,238 --> 00:09:33,607
details in the public, you
know, media world is that

191
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voters don't really care
about those things, right?

192
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They care about sort of
feeling heard and feeling

193
00:09:38,011 --> 00:09:40,747
considered. And so one of
the things that candidates

194
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need to do right now is
present, that they take

195
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people's concerns seriously.
They take the affordability

196
00:09:46,186 --> 00:09:48,355
concerns seriously, they
take the school funding

197
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concerns seriously. And the
kind of details of it are a

198
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lot less important to your
everyday voter. And so how

199
00:09:54,862 --> 00:09:57,731
do you kind of message that
in a way that makes people

200
00:09:57,798 --> 00:09:59,933
feel heard and understood
enough to want to check

201
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,569
that box at the ballot box,
rather than kind of getting

202
00:10:02,636 --> 00:10:05,239
into some of this
infighting around the

203
00:10:05,305 --> 00:10:07,908
capital by which it could
have or could have not

204
00:10:07,975 --> 00:10:09,543
occurred.
>> I think you've brought

205
00:10:09,610 --> 00:10:12,246
up a really important
element, and that is that

206
00:10:12,312 --> 00:10:14,348
feeds into the cynicism of
some people out there. And

207
00:10:14,414 --> 00:10:17,518
the question for every
midterm is turnout.

208
00:10:17,584 --> 00:10:19,653
Presidential elections will
always have high turnout

209
00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,022
just because there's so
much attention. Midterms,

210
00:10:22,089 --> 00:10:25,025
the candidate success rises
and falls with who shows up

211
00:10:25,092 --> 00:10:27,494
and which party can get
their people out. So if

212
00:10:27,561 --> 00:10:30,197
there are voters,
independents, or moderates

213
00:10:30,264 --> 00:10:33,133
on either side who feel
like they're not being

214
00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:36,603
heard by their politicians
because both sides, all the

215
00:10:36,670 --> 00:10:39,139
candidates in front of them,
said, no, I'd rather do it

216
00:10:39,206 --> 00:10:41,942
my way later on. You don't
need anything right now.

217
00:10:42,009 --> 00:10:44,845
You can just wait. That may
feed into them saying, well,

218
00:10:44,912 --> 00:10:47,080
forget it, I'm just going
to tune out. None of you

219
00:10:47,147 --> 00:10:49,883
deserve my vote. And that
could impact turnout. Who

220
00:10:49,950 --> 00:10:52,486
were those voters more
likely to be persuadable?

221
00:10:52,553 --> 00:10:55,088
By which side could they
have gone to if they vote

222
00:10:55,155 --> 00:10:57,891
at all? That is a big
factor. When you see the

223
00:10:57,958 --> 00:11:00,427
potential of this midterm
with wave elections and

224
00:11:00,494 --> 00:11:02,996
people feeling upset and
angry, some of them just

225
00:11:03,063 --> 00:11:05,532
tune out and they are votes
that are not even counted

226
00:11:05,599 --> 00:11:08,836
at all because they never
show up.

227
00:11:08,902 --> 00:11:11,004
of the candidates for
governor in a little more

228
00:11:11,071 --> 00:11:14,508
detail here. Tom Tiffany
had a forum in Madison on

229
00:11:14,575 --> 00:11:17,344
the day that this poll came
out. So it was a few hours

230
00:11:17,411 --> 00:11:20,080
after the the poll had been
out there. Essentially,

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he'd seen the answers to
the test by then, and he

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knew where the public stood
on this issue. Tom Tiffany

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was asked Ana at this forum,
you know, do you stand by

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your comments earlier that
you oppose this deal? What

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did he have to say?
>> He stands by those. But

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again, you know, like
needing to thread that

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needle of. But yes, I want
to fund schools. Yes, I

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think that people need more
money in their pockets. I

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just don't think that this
was the right deal for that.

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And so again, he got kind
of squishy on details. So

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he talked about he believes
basically every penny of

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the surplus needs to go
back into people's pockets.

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This would have obviously
split the the surplus

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between school funding and
some of those rebates. And

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then things like no tax on
tips. He then didn't really

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have a proposal for how he
would return that money to

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the taxpayers, and he
didn't really have details

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on how he would then boost
school funding, because, of

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course, that is the other
kind of half of the deal.

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But he said he really cares
about that. And, you know,

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stay tuned for his first
budget as governor. So it

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was a way of, I think,
trying to thread that

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00:12:23,510 --> 00:12:25,612
needle of I didn't support
it because it didn't do

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enough for you, the voter
vote for me and I'll make

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it happen. I will find a
way to balance the budget

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and find a way to put money
in your pockets.

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projected surplus as at
this forum?

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Madison math to try to to
if there was going to be a

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deficit because of how you
spend money, that that is

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Madison math. And he's
going to do sort of family

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checkbook math, which is
how you balance a budget.

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So again, a lot of sort of
talking points, not a lot

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of specifics.
terms of the Madison math

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versus the family math, it
is, it is basically like

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assuming your family is not
going to get a raise in the

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next couple of years. And
this is what would happen

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if you didn't, you would
run out of money at this

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forum hosted by WisPolitics
in Madison, Tom Tiffany was

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also given an open
invitation to show where he

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disagrees with President
Donald Trump. One of those

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questions was about whether
he'd support this $1.8

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billion pot of money that
Trump's administration has

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dubbed the Anti
Weaponization Fund. That's

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the one the Democrats worry
could be used to compensate

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people like the January 6th
defendants. Here's what Tom

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Tiffany had to say.
>> So I'm still studying

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the details in regards to
that. I haven't I'm asking

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the administration to give
us more as far as how

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exactly they expect to
implement this. I'd say one

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of the just one thought
that I have in regards to

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it is that, you know, maybe
some people are due

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compensation.
>> So, Zac, this is a 5050

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state. And Tom Tiffany has
the luxury of not running

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in a big competitive
Republican primary right

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now. One could argue that
this would be a chance for

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him to say, this is where I
differ from the president.

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Why didn't we hear that
from him?

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>> Because he really hasn't
differed from the president

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on most issues since the
president has come into

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power. And since Tom
Tiffany's been in Congress,

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they've been very closely
associated. And that's not

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just Tom Tiffany's personal
belief. That's him

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representing his
congressional district. The

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seventh is the most Maga
red of all the Republican

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districts throughout the
state. So, yes, there's a

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00:14:30,437 --> 00:14:32,639
political logic that comes
with, well, he doesn't have

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a Republican primary to
worry about. So he already

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has Trump's endorsement,
the party's endorsement, so

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he can afford to split from
Trump. It's not the same as

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some of these primaries
we've seen around the

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country, where everyone's
desperately clinging to try

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00:14:43,951 --> 00:14:46,186
and get Trump to give him
their blessing so they can

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win a primary. He's already
got that. So I think this

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clearly shows and his prior
statements in a lot of

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00:14:51,925 --> 00:14:54,661
these similar issues about
the 2020 election and

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election fraud and
conspiracies clearly shows

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this is who he is, and this
has been who he is all

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along in Congress. This
really isn't any different

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from the Tom Tiffany we've
been covering for all these

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years. I think there may be
some Republicans who wish

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it was different, because
now he's in a more

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widespread political
spotlight and the little

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00:15:13,113 --> 00:15:15,315
higher stakes with the
gubernatorial election. But

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it's not really a change
from who he's always been

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00:15:18,619 --> 00:15:21,555
rich.
>> We've had the benefit of

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a few days since that forum,
but he was he covered a lot

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00:15:24,992 --> 00:15:28,896
there in this forum by
WisPolitics. What were some

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00:15:28,962 --> 00:15:31,198
people in his own party
saying about how that went

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00:15:31,265 --> 00:15:33,400
for him, and kind of how he
maneuvered around these

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00:15:33,467 --> 00:15:36,937
questions.
>> So through my trolling

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00:15:38,071 --> 00:15:41,875
of social media trolling.
Its research, trolling is

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00:15:41,942 --> 00:15:46,847
something else. That's
right. Research. I, I saw a

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00:15:46,914 --> 00:15:50,918
few conservatives,
Republicans, and even one

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00:15:50,984 --> 00:15:54,955
conservative website say
this was an unforced error.

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00:15:55,022 --> 00:15:58,125
He doesn't he shouldn't be
talking about 2020. He

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00:15:58,192 --> 00:15:59,927
needs to talk about the
future and what he's going

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00:15:59,993 --> 00:16:03,797
to do, and also to the
surplus bill and his

328
00:16:04,598 --> 00:16:06,700
opposition to that, they
said. A lot of people said

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00:16:06,767 --> 00:16:11,071
that was another unforced
error. And, you know,

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00:16:11,138 --> 00:16:14,374
there's this race on to for
every candidate to define

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00:16:14,441 --> 00:16:16,410
themselves before they're
defined by the other party.

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00:16:16,476 --> 00:16:19,746
So some Republicans think
that Tiffany needs to do a

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00:16:19,813 --> 00:16:23,150
better job of that.
>> Ana one thing that stood

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00:16:23,217 --> 00:16:25,319
out to you, I remember when
we were talking about what

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00:16:25,385 --> 00:16:29,656
went on at this forum is
you said he basically

336
00:16:29,723 --> 00:16:33,227
covered a lot of ground and
said very little about the

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00:16:33,293 --> 00:16:35,128
details. Would that be an
accurate summation of what

338
00:16:35,195 --> 00:16:37,331
you saw?
>> I think that's right.

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00:16:37,397 --> 00:16:40,033
And, you know, to be clear,
it's not unusual for a

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00:16:40,100 --> 00:16:42,536
politician in an election
year to kind of go broad

341
00:16:42,603 --> 00:16:44,671
strokes, big picture and
not necessarily settle on

342
00:16:44,738 --> 00:16:47,541
the details. But I think,
again, it speaks to this

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00:16:47,608 --> 00:16:49,610
thing that we've been
talking about, this whole

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00:16:49,676 --> 00:16:52,479
show about how do you kind
of land a message without

345
00:16:52,546 --> 00:16:54,681
getting caught up in these
details? And I wonder to

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00:16:54,748 --> 00:16:56,984
what extent, because he
doesn't have to distinguish

347
00:16:57,050 --> 00:16:59,086
himself in a primary the
way that the Democratic

348
00:16:59,152 --> 00:17:02,756
candidates do, whether he
just kind of wants to

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00:17:02,823 --> 00:17:05,659
appeal to people who just
want a more conservative

350
00:17:05,726 --> 00:17:07,995
person in office, people
who, you know, for whom his

351
00:17:08,061 --> 00:17:10,664
sort of Northwoods
background is more

352
00:17:10,731 --> 00:17:14,168
appealing and, and is maybe
relying on some level of

353
00:17:14,234 --> 00:17:16,003
infighting from the
Democrats. And therefore,

354
00:17:16,069 --> 00:17:18,472
he doesn't really need to
make a case in that

355
00:17:18,539 --> 00:17:20,607
traditional sense. He
doesn't need to explain in

356
00:17:20,674 --> 00:17:23,610
great detail how he would
balance that budget. He can

357
00:17:23,677 --> 00:17:26,547
kind of go a little bit on
on vibes and hope that

358
00:17:26,613 --> 00:17:29,016
that'll carry him through
November.

359
00:17:29,082 --> 00:17:31,852
Madison, he has that luxury.
I did check before we

360
00:17:31,919 --> 00:17:34,454
recorded today, and he has
a couple campaign ads on

361
00:17:34,521 --> 00:17:37,991
YouTube. Zac, 7 million
views and 4 million views

362
00:17:38,058 --> 00:17:40,727
where he talks about
basically being a Wisconsin

363
00:17:40,794 --> 00:17:43,197
guy and a damn tender. It
seems like that may reach

364
00:17:43,263 --> 00:17:44,898
more people.
>> And that is his

365
00:17:44,965 --> 00:17:47,067
background. He started out
running a small business.

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00:17:47,134 --> 00:17:49,503
He's tended the dam and
that's what he's going to

367
00:17:49,570 --> 00:17:52,039
run on. Is that folksy,
Northwoods attitude

368
00:17:52,105 --> 00:17:54,374
widespread the inside
Wisconsin politics? That's

369
00:17:54,441 --> 00:17:56,343
the Madison math he's not
worried about.

370
00:17:56,410 --> 00:17:58,712
>> Well, that's all the
time we have for today.

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00:17:58,779 --> 00:18:02,182
Thanks for joining us. This
has been inside Wisconsin

372
00:18:02,249 --> 00:18:05,185
politics. Be sure to follow
us on PBS wisconsin.org.

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00:18:05,252 --> 00:18:07,154
WPR.org, YouTube, or
wherever you get your

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00:18:07,221 --> 00:18:08,889
podcasts.
