so you were at this watch party
obviously watching closely last night
what was your reaction to these results
well it's pretty surprising that Joe
Biden did as well as he did I mean the
the three days leading up to this were
really pretty amazing in terms of the
change that happened so rapidly it's
hard to think of any other presidential
nomination contest for the last 20 years
we've had something comparable happened
for you know to start with the the big
win on Saturday in South Carolina then
they have booted edge and Amy Klobuchar
drop out and endorsed him and the surge
that he got then you know from those
endorsements basically led him to over
perform in every single state so you
know we knew early on it was going to be
big it looked like with Virginia leading
it off with a huge win in Virginia and
then when you saw Massachusetts also is
tight there and that was a shocker as
well because everything leading up
seemed to indicate that it was going to
be between Sanders and Warren in her
home state war ends up coming in third
and Biden carries Massachusetts Maine
another one that still up for grabs I
guess but Biden is likely to win Maine
as well that was another state that that
Sanders was supposed to win so early on
it looked like it was going to be a
strong night but then when the the
southern states came in with Alabama and
Tennessee and North Carolina all falling
in line and then Arkansas Oklahoma and
Texas look up for grabs and then it
looked like it was going to be close to
a clean sweep and then of course the
western states came in later for Sanders
and those are the ones that he was
expected to win but even there you'd
have to to say that Sanders is kind of
saved by the fact that there was so much
early voting in those states because the
the four states he ended up carrying
when his home state in the three states
then that had the heaviest amount of
early voting and voting by mail Utah
Colorado and California so it's
conceivable that without the early
voting Joe Biden could have swept every
state except for Vermont which is really
remarkable what do you attribute that to
well I think it's the the fact that
booted edge and Klobuchar dropped out
and endorsed him you have a
consolidation of the center something
that you know the the party
establishment folks had been hoping for
for four weeks and would see now for the
last month or so really
people you know in the center of the
Democratic Party really being concerned
about a Sanders nomination worried that
they wouldn't be able to win the general
election against Donald Trump and so by
having two of the other leading
moderates drop out and endorse Biden
that I think really did contribute to
the surge and now of course then the big
news today was with Bloomberg dropping
out even finishes off that consolidation
basically do you think that Joe Biden
gets Michael Bloomberg's money he has
said as much yeah so Bloomberg has said
he is going to continue spending and and
give Biden his whole operation of all of
the stuff that he has you know on the
ground right now in in these states and
continue spending he's indicated he's
gonna spend all the way through the
general election could be like a billion
dollars it's amazing so what does that
mean for Bernie Sanders who won
Wisconsin in 2016
well Sanders I think know is is a long
shot to win certainly a majority and so
right now I think like 538 one of the
leading prognosticators has Sanders at
only an 8 percent chance of winning a
majority of the the delegates now he
still could end up you know coming in
close to two Biden and neither of them
having a majority and so that that is
still a possibility but even that seems
less likely now that the the final
predictions of what's going to happen
taking into account Super Tuesday
haven't happened yet because we don't
have the final final results but my
guess is that once we get those final
results in and especially if California
ends up staying about where it is right
now where you know Sanders is gonna win
California but not by a huge margin he's
still you know on the mid 30% range in
terms of his vote in California and so
that holds then Biden's going to come
out of Super Tuesday with a pretty big
delegate lead that's likely to carry
over now in these next States coming up
or mostly States to Hillary Clinton one
in 2016 and Sanders didn't win so do you
suppose that the chances of a contested
convention are better well I think
they're lower and now than they were
before Super Tuesday because I think
before Super Tuesday it like 538 headed
us
61% chance that it would be a contested
convention and no I think it'll be
closer to 5050 maybe a little under
50/50 even I would guess after all the
results come in so it's still a real
possibility but it's less likely than it
was 24 hours ago with the enthusiasm and
then the infusion of Bloomberg money how
big of a threat is Joe Biden to Donald
Trump well this obviously was Trump's
biggest concern going back to the you
know the whole Ukrainian thing and
asking for the investigations of the
Biden's
he was worried about Joe Biden from the
beginning and I think that for a good
reason now there's no doubt that the
Biden consolidates that the center in a
way that that no other candidate really
could have done the attachment he oh and
the legacy of Obama that obviously is a
big help as well and once Obama starts
CEO campaigning providin if Biden is the
nominee that's gonna help a lot now the
big question mark obviously for Biden is
his ability to bring in the Sanders
supporters especially the young voters
are the the big concern there because
that's been Biden's real core base of
support and that came through last night
as well there are some states where
Sanders is beating Biden by 5060 points
among the 18 to 29 year old so that is
really a core group of voters for him
that it's not clear if they will know
they're not gonna vote for Trump for the
most part but it's not clear if they'll
turn out for for Biden in the same way
they would have turned out for Bernie
Sanders and so I think that's gonna be
the biggest thing that the Biden's gonna
have to work on if he ends up being the
nominee is to make sure that that part
of the the Sanders coalition especially
actually does turnout on the general
election day all right we need to leave
it there thanks a lot it sounds good