WERE RELEASED THE SAME WEEK AS
PRESIDENT TRUMP'S VISIT TO THE
BADGER STATE, NUMBERS THAT SHOW
THE MIXED FEW OF THE INCUMBENT
AND HIS POLICIES.
IN TONIGHT'S CLOSER LOOK, WE GO
OVER THE RESULTS OF THE NEW
MARQUETTE LAW SCHOOL POLL WITH
POLL DIRECTOR CHARLES FRANKLIN.
THANKS A LOT FOR BEING HERE.
>> GOOD TO BE HERE.
>> IN OUR FIRST POLL QUESTION HE
THAT WE CHOSE, APPROVAL OF
PRESIDENT
PRESIDENT TRUMP'S HANDLING OF
FOREIGN POLICY.
44% APPROVE.
53% DISAPPROVE YOU FOUND.
HOW MUCH DOES THIS DISAPPROVAL,
DO YOU SUPPOSE, TRANSFERS TO THE
VOTING BOOTH?
>> WELL, WE'LL SEE.
FOREIGN POLICY IS HIS WEAKEST
AREA OF EVALUATION, WHERE THE
ECONOMY IS HIS STRONGEST.
WE DIDN'T SEE ANY BUMP IN THE
FOREIGN POLICY VIEWS AS A RESULT
OF THE MILITARY EXCHANGE WITH
IRAN.
WE WERE COMPLETELY IN THE FIELD
AFTER THAT OCCURRED.
BUT HIS APPROVAL ON FOREIGN
POLICY WAS EXACTLY THE SAME AS
TWO MONTHSING MONTHS AGO.
IT WAS ONE POINT HIGHER THAN IT
WAS A MONTH AGO.
OVER THOSE THREE POLLS, YOU JUST
DON'T SEE ANY CHANGE AT ALL.
FOREIGN POLICY IS ONE OF THOSE
THINGS THAT IN AN EMERGENCY CAN
BECOME A REALLY IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR THE PUBLIC.
BUT FOR MOST OF THE TIME, IT'S A
SECONDARY CONSIDERATION.
>> SPEAKING OF FOREIGN POLICY,
OUR NEXT SLIDE SHOWS WHETHER OR
NOT YOUR RESPONDENTS THOUGHT
THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP DID
SOMETHING WRONG IN DEALING WITH
UKRAINE.
40% SAID THEY DID BELIEVE THAT.
37% BELIEVED THEY DID NOT.
THERE'S POLARITY IN THESE
NUMBERS THAT SEEMS TO KIND OF
MATCH THE ELECTORATE.
>> AND AGAIN THE VERY STABLE
RESULTS ON THIS.
IT'S BEENNO CARRIERRINGRINGCONNECT 38400 UNDERWAY, WE
ASKED SHOULD THE SENATE CONVICT
AND REMOVE HIM FROM OFFICE OR
SHOULD THEY EXONERATE HIM.
44%, CONVICT AND REMOVE.
49%, EXONERATE.
SO A FIVE-POINT GAP.
BEFORE THE HOUSE VOTED, WE HAD
ABOUT 40% WHO SAID HE SHOULD BE
IMPEACHED AND REMOVED.
A DIFFERENT QUESTION.
SO MAYBE SUPPORT FOR REMOVAL IS
UP A LITTLE BIT, BUT BECAUSE
WE'VE WORDED THE QUESTION
DIFFERENTLY NOW THAT THE HOUSE
HAS ALREADY VOTED, IT'S NOT
EXACTLY COMPARABLE.
>> LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE
DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES RUNNING
FOR PRESIDENT.
TOP FOUR DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
PICKS, JOE BIDEN, 23%.
BERNIE SANDERS, 19%.
PETE BUTTIGIEG, 15%, WARREN,
14%.
ANY SURPRISES HERE?
>> NO.
THE TOP FOUR HAVE BEEN THE TOP
FOUR FOR THE LAST FIVE MONTHS,
FOUR MONTHS, AT LEAST.
THE TOP THREE HERE ARE EXACT LIP
THE EXACTLY
THE SAME PERCENTAGES BEFORE
CHRISTMAS.
IT'S LIKE PEOPLE WENT AWAY FOR
THE HOLIDAYS AND DIDN'T REALLY
THINK ABOUT THE HOLIDAYS.
ELIZABETH WARREN DOWN TWO
POINTS FROM WHERE SHE WAS LAST
TIME, SO SHE WAS IN THIRD PLACE,
NOW IN FOURTH, BUT ONE POINT
DIFFERENT.
I THINK THE BIG STORY HERE IS
60% STILL SAY THEY MIGHT CHANGE
THEIR MIND OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
VOTERS.
THAT'S A LITTLE LESS THAN THE
65% WE HAD A MONTH AGO.
SO MAYBE PEOPLE ARE FIRMING UP
THEIR VIEWS A LITTLE BIT.
BUT THE REAL ACTION IS GOING TO
COME AFTER IOWA DOES THEIR FIRST
VOTE IN THE CAUCUS IN A LITTLE
OVER TWO WEEKS WHEN NEW
HAMPSHIRE VOTES.
BY THE TIME WE TALK TO PEOPLE IN
FEBRUARY, THIS RACE WILL BE A
LOT MORE CLEAR ABOUT WHAT ACTUAL
VOTERS ARE SAYING IN THE EARLY
EVENTS.
>> LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE
GENERAL ELECTION MATCH-UPS.
YOU SHOW JOE BIDEN, 49%, TRUMP
45%.
ELIZABETH WARREN, 45, TRUMP 48.
PETE BUTTIGIEG, 44 AND TRUMP 46.
ALL THESE NUMBERS ARE WITHIN THE
MARGIN OF ERROR, YET BIDEN
CONSISTENTLY ON TOP.
>> BIDEN HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY
RUNNING BEST AGAINST TRUMP IN
POLLING SINCE OCTOBER, REALLY
SINCE AUGUST.
BUT THE DEGREE TO WHICH HE DOES
WELL HAS VARIED.
WE'VE SEEN TRUMP A LITTLE BIT
AHEAD OF BIDEN, ABOUT FOUR
MONTHS AGO, BUT BIDEN HAS
STEADILY IMPROVED OVER THE LAST
FOUR POLLS.
BERNIE SANDERS HAS IMPROVED A
BIT.
THE OTHERS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE
BIT MORE MIXED, MOSTLY JUST
BOUNCING AROUND.
I THINK THE REAL STORY IS IT'S A
BATTLEGROUND STATE.
THESE ARE ALL INSIDE THE MARGIN
OF ERROR.
THERE'S BEEN A LITTLE BIT OF
GROWTH IN SUPPORT FOR BIDEN AND
FOR SANDERS, EITHER STABILITY OR
SLIGHT SHRINKAGE FOR BUTTIGIEG
AND WARREN.
>> 51% APPROVE, 44% DISAPPROVE.
HOW DO THESE STACK UP FOR THE
GOVERNOR?
>> PRETTY DECENT.
THE 51 IS ABOUT ABOVE 50%.
THE NET APPROVAL IS PRETTY GOOD.
IF YOU WANT TO CONTRAST HIM WITH
GOVERNOR WALKER, HE WAS USUALLY
BETWEEN 48 AND 50 OR 51%.
RARELY OVER 50%, ACTUALLY.
BUT WALKER HAD A HIGHER
PERCENTAGE THAT DISAPPROVED
THROUGH MUCH OF HIS FIRST TERM.
EVERS HAS BENEFITED BY HAVING
DISAPPROVAL IN THE 30s TO LOW
40s AS WE SEE THIS TIME, A NET
PLUS 11.
>> ALL RIGHT.
CHARLES