NEW
STATEWIDE POLL
NUMBERS
% WERE
RELEASED
THE
SAME
WEEK
AS% PRESIDENT
TRUMP'S VISIT
TO
THE
% BADGER
STATE,
NUMBERS THAT
SHOW
% THE
MIXED
FEW OF TH
E
INCUMBENT
% AND HIS
POLICIES.
% IN
TONIGHT'S
CLOSER
LOOK,
WE
GO
% OVER THE RESULTS OF
T
HE
NEW
% MARQUETTE
L
AW
SCHOOL
POLL
WITH
% POLL
DIRECTOR
C
HARLES
FRANKLIN.
% THANKS A LOT
F
OR
BEING
HERE.% >>
GOOD TO
B
E
HERE.
% >> I
N
O
UR
FIRST POLL QUESTION
H
E
% THAT WE
CHOSE,
APPROVAL
OF% PRESIDENT
%
PRESIDENT TRUMP'S
HANDLING
OF
% FOREIGN POLICY.
% 44%
APPROVE
.
% 53%
DISAPPROVE YOU
FOUND.
% HOW
MUC
H
DOES
THIS
DISAPPROVAL,
% DO Y
OU
SUPPOSE, TRANSFERS
T
O
T
HE
% VOTING
BOOTH
?% >>
WELL,
WE'LL
SEE
.
% FOREIGN
POLICY
IS
H
IS
WEAKEST
% AREA
OF
EVALUATION,
WHERE
THE
% ECONOMY
IS
HIS
STRONGEST.
% WE DIDN'T
SEE
A
NY
B
UMP
I
N
THE
% FOREIGN POLICY
VIEWS AS A
RESULT% OF
THE
MILITARY
EXCHANGE
WITH
% IRAN.
% WE WERE
COMPLETELY IN
THE
FIELD
% AFTER
THA
T
OCCURRED.
% BUT
HIS
APPROVAL
ON
FOREIGN
% POLICY
WAS
EXACTLY
THE
SAME
AS
% TWO
MONTHSING
MONTHS
AGO
.
% IT
W
AS
ONE
POINT
HIGHER
THAN IT
% WAS A MONTH
AG
O.
% OVER
THO
SE
THRE
E
POLLS,
YOU
JUST
% DON'T
S
EE
A
NY
CHANGE AT
ALL.
% FOREIGN POLICY
IS ONE
OF
THOSE
% THINGS THAT
IN AN
EMERGENCY CAN
% BECOME A
REALLY
IMPORTANT ISSUE
% FOR
THE
PUBLIC.
% BUT FOR MOST OF
THE
TIME,
IT'S A
% SECONDARY
CONSIDERATION.% >>
SPEAKING
OF
FOREIGN
POLICY,
% OUR
NEXT
SLIDE
SHOWS WHETHER OR% NOT
Y
OUR
RESPONDENTS
THOUGHT
% THAT PRESIDENT
TRUMP
DID
% SOMETHING WRONG I
N
DEALING
W
ITH
% UKRAINE.
% 40% SAID
TH
EY D
ID
BELIEVE
THAT.
% 37%
B
ELIEVED
THEY
DID
N
OT.
% THERE'S
POLARITY
IN
TH
ESE
% NUMBERS THAT
SEE
MS
T
O
KIND
OF
% MATCH
THE
ELECTORATE.% >>
A
ND
AGAIN
THE
VERY
STABLE
% RESULTS ON
THI
S.
% IT'S
B
EEN
NO CARRIER
RING
CONNECT 38400
UNDERWAY,
W
E
% ASKED SHOULD
THE
SENATE
CONVICT
% AND
REMOVE
HIM
FROM
OFFICE
OR
% SHOULD
THEY
EXONERATE
HIM
.
% 44%, CONVICT
AND
R
EMOVE.
% 49%,
E
XONERATE.
% SO A
FIVE-POINT
GAP
.
% BEFORE THE
HOUSE
VOTED,
W
E
H
AD
% ABOUT
4
0%
WHO
SAI
D
HE SHOULD
BE
% IMPEACHED AND
REMOVED.
% A DIFFERENT QUESTION.
% SO
MAYBE
SUPPORT
FOR
R
EMOVAL
I
S
% UP A LITTLE
B
IT,
B
UT
BECAUSE
% WE'VE
WORDED
THE
QUESTION
% DIFFERENTLY NO
W T
HAT
THE
HOUSE
% HAS ALREADY
VOTED,
IT'S
NOT
% EXACTLY
COMPARABLE.% >> LET'S
TAKE
A LOOK
AT
TH
E
% DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATES
RUNNING
% FOR
PRESIDENT.
% TOP
FOUR
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
% PICKS, JOE
BIDEN,
23%
.
% BERNIE
SANDERS,
19%.
% PETE
BUTTIGIEG,
15%,
WARREN,
% 14%.
% ANY
SURPRISES
HERE?
% >>
NO.
% THE
T
OP
FOUR HAVE BEEN
THE
TOP
% FOUR
FOR
THE
LAST FIVE
MONTHS,
% FOUR
MONTHS,
A
T
LEAST.
% THE
TOP
T
HREE
HERE
ARE
EXACT
L
IP
% THE
E
XACTLY
% THE
S
AME
PERCENTAGES
BEFORE
% CHRISTMAS.
% IT'S LIKE
PEOPLE WENT
AWAY
FOR
% THE
HOLIDAYS AND
DIDN'T
REALLY
% THINK
ABOUT
THE
H
OLIDAYS.
% ELIZABETH WARREN
DOWN
T
WO
% POINTS
FROM
WHERE SHE
WA
S
LAS
T
% TIME,
SO SHE
WAS
IN
THIRD
PLACE,
% NOW IN
FOUR
TH,
B
UT
ONE
POINT
% DIFFERENT.
% I THINK
THE
B
IG
STORY
H
ERE
IS
% 60% STILL
SAY
THEY
MIGHT
CHANGE
% THEIR
M
IND
OF
DEMOCRATIC
PRIMARY
% VOTERS.
% THAT'S A LITTLE LESS
TH
AN
THE
% 65% WE
HAD A
MONTH
AGO.
% SO MAYBE
PEOPLE ARE
FIRMING
U
P
% THEIR
VIEWS A LITTLE B
IT.
% BUT THE REAL
ACTION I
S
GOING T
O
% COME
AFT
ER
IOW
A
DOES
THEIR
FIRST% VOTE I
N
THE
CAUCU
S IN A
LITTLE
% OVER TWO
WEE
KS
WHEN NEW
% HAMPSHIRE VOTES.
% BY
THE
TIME
WE
T
AL
K
TO
PEOPLE
I
N
% FEBRUARY, THIS RACE WILL
B
E A
% LOT
MORE CLEAR
ABOUT
WHAT
ACTUAL
% VOTERS ARE
SAYING
I
N
THE
EARLY
% EVENTS.%>>
LET'S
TAKE
A LOOK
A
T
THE
% GENERAL
ELECTION
MATCH-UPS.
% YOU
SHOW
JOE
BIDEN,
49%,
TRUMP
% 45%.%ELIZABETH
WARREN,
4
5,
TRUMP
4
8.
% PETE
BUTTIGIEG,
4
AND
T
RUMP
4
6.
% ALL THESE
NUMBERS
ARE
WITHIN
THE
% MARGIN
OF
ERROR, YET
BIDEN
% CONSISTENTLY ON
TOP.
% >>
BIDEN HAS
B
EEN
CONSISTENTLY
% RUNNING
B
EST
AGAINST
TRUMP
IN
% POLLING SINCE
OCTOBER, REALLY
% SINCE AUGUST.
% BUT
THE
DEGREE TO
WHICH
HE
D
OES
% WELL HAS
VARIED.
% WE'VE
S
EEN
TRUMP A
LITTLE BI
T
% AHEAD OF
BIDEN,
ABOUT
FOUR
% MONTHS
AGO
, BUT
BIDEN
HAS
% STEADILY
IMPROVED OVER THE
LAST
% FOUR
POLLS.
% BERNIE SANDERS
H
AS
I
MPROVED A% BIT.
% THE
OTHERS HAVE BEEN A
LITTLE
% BIT
MORE
MIXED,
MOSTLY
JUST
% BOUNCING AROUND.
% I
THINK
THE
REA
L
STORY
IS
IT'S A
% BATTLEGROUND STATE.
% THESE
ARE
A
LL
INSIDE
THE
MARGIN
% OF
ERROR.
% THERE'S
BEEN A
LITTLE
BIT
OF
% GROWTH
IN
SUPPORT
FOR
BIDEN
AND
% FOR
S
ANDERS,
EITHER
STABILITY
OR
% SLIGHT
SHRINKAGE
FOR
BUTTIGIEG
% AND
WARREN.
% >>
51%
APPROVE,
44%
DISAPPROVE.
% HOW
DO
THES
E
STACK U
P
F
OR
T
HE
% GOVERNOR?%>>
PRETTY
DECENT.
% THE
5
1
I
S
ABOUT
ABOVE
50%.
% THE
NET
APPROVAL
I
S P
RETTY
GOOD.
% IF YOU WANT
T
O
CONTRAST
HIM
WITH% GOVERNOR
WALKER, HE WAS
USUALLY
% BETWEEN
4
8
A
ND
50
OR
51%.
% RARELY
O
VER
50%,
ACTUALLY.
% BUT WALKER
HAD A
HIGHER
% PERCENTAGE THAT
D
ISAPPROVED% THROUGH
MUCH
OF
HIS
FIRST
TERM.
% EVERS
HAS
BENEFITED
BY
HAVING
% DISAPPROVAL IN THE
30s
TO
LOW
% 40s AS
W
E
SEE
THIS
TIME, A
NET
% PLUS
11.
% >> ALL
RIGHT.
% CHARLES