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>> A gerrymandering arms
race is happening around

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the country this year. Why
not in Wisconsin? Also, how

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some big orders out of
Washington could affect

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Wisconsin. And a look at
the closing days of our

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state Supreme Court race.
This is inside Wisconsin

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politics.

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I'm Shawn Johnson
here with my colleagues,

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Anya van Wagtendonk Zac
Schultz and Rich Cramer in

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Eau Claire. Hey, everyone.
>> Hey. Hello. Hey.

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>> So Rich, there had been
sort of this hope by

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Democrats that there was
this one case in this

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courtroom in Madison that
could potentially redraw

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the congressional lines
ahead of the midterm

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elections. It seems like
this courtroom said, no,

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that door is actually
closed. What did they say

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this week?
>> So they said that they

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don't really have the
authority to do anything

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about the maps. The lawsuit
is seeking a redraw because

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of some things that
happened back in 2022. Well,

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the Supreme Court is the
one that put those maps in

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effect, but the circuit
court judges said that they

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just they can't overrule
the Supreme Court. So

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essentially, they dismissed
the case. And it seems all

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but likely that the current
districts, which are held

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by six Republicans and two
Democrats, will remain the

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same for the November
election.

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>> And just kind of zooming
out as to why this feels

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like it matters more at
this moment in time, you

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have this redistricting
battle going across the

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country where Republican
states have redrawn their

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congressional maps to add
more Republican seats.

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Democratic states have
responded in kind. Where

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does this leave Wisconsin?
Big picture. Zack, when it

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comes to what everything
looks like here as part of

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that battle.
to be operating under the

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same congressional lines
Evers version of the maps,

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if you recall, under the
old least change model,

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that the Supreme Court at
that time run by

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conservatives, dictated
this was Tony Evers version

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of the old Republican map,
slightly adjusting them.

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The most competitive
district remains the third,

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which is Western Wisconsin
La Crosse and going up

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through Rich's area. And
that race has been close

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for a few cycles. It will
remain close this fall.

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Democrats across the
possible pickup, but the

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rest of the districts,
barring a huge wave, look

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like they're going to stay
the way they've been. There

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were Democrats who were
thinking Wisconsin could

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get in this redistricting
game. Most of the states

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doing that around the
country are doing that with

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one party rule, where the
Democrats or Republicans

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control the entire state so
they can do this mid-decade,

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even though they're not
supposed to be. Wisconsin

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obviously doesn't have that.
It would have had to go

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through the Supreme Court.
The Wisconsin Supreme Court

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has consistently said, we
do not want to touch these

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congressional lines. They
have been given options

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multiple times, and they've
said no through original

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action. So that's why in
this case, there were two

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different plaintiffs that
said, how about we go

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through the local courts
first and see if it can

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work the way up to the
Supreme Court under a law

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passed by Scott Walker and
the Republicans, that meant

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these changes had to go to
this panel of three judges,

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and there were two panels
created by the Supreme

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Court. One of them has said,
well, we'll have a trial in

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April of 27. So a year away,
obviously nowhere near in

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time for 26. The other one
was the one that dismissed

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the case this week. The
other panel that still has

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a case out there has not
ruled on their motion to

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dismiss. It's possible that
could get thrown out under

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the very same grounds. And
it looks like at this time

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the floor is in the law
that was passed that was

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supposed to hear this
because it requires Supreme

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Court to set up these
judges to do something. And

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the judges say it's not
clear what we have the

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authority to do in this
case, which is why they

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dismissed it yet another
time where these this

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challenge will not get to
the Supreme Court under

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this venue.
>> To the dismay of many

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Democrats who said, hey, we
have A43 majority on the

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Liberals do on the state
Supreme Court. Let's try

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there. Maybe not the
legislature this time

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because it's not going to
go anywhere there or will

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it on you because, you know,
some people may have heard

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about this push by Governor
Tony Evers to ban partizan

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gerrymandering in Wisconsin.
He's going to call a

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special session for that
later this month. Just a

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thought exercise here.
Could it work? Could that

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change the lines?
>> I mean, if history is

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any guide, Evers special
sessions don't often go

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anywhere, right?
Republicans who control the

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legislature, they have to
show up, but they gavel in

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and gavel out very often on
his agenda. But there was

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actually maybe some signs
that there could be

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something to this. So
initially, first of all,

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Republicans did not sort of
dismiss it out of hand,

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which was notable. Robin
Vos said that he would be

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willing to negotiate on
this last. I asked him

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about it a couple weeks ago.
He said, like, it hasn't

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come up yet. So it's
possible that a deal kind

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of won't be brokered. But
when I've spoken to experts

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about it, what they say is
that because of the redrawn

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state maps of two years ago,
kind of GOP guaranteed hold

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of the legislature is no
longer so guaranteed. And

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so both parties would need
to kind of map out the 2026

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elections, the 2028
elections, the 2030

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elections going back and
forth. And so because of

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that, it's not clear that
gerrymandering in Wisconsin

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is beneficial to either
party in a way that in

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California or Florida, it
is guaranteed sort of

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beneficial to one party or
another because we have

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divided government and
these super, super close

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elections, because we are
so purple. Gerrymandering

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is not necessarily
beneficial to either side.

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So maybe getting rid of it
altogether is actually the

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politically better choice.
>> But as a constitutional

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amendment in the year 2026,
not going to happen because

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it just it takes too long.
>> Well, certainly. Right.

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So it won't affect the
midterms in any kind of way.

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But if there were any kind
of like negotiation there

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and constitutional
bit longer, and Republicans

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have said they don't agree
with sort of the language

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that Evers has put forward,
that it's too vague and

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it's too broad. So there's
all these details that

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would need to get hashed
out. But I think this kind

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of broader conversation,
knowing that voters pretty

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categorically, regardless
gerrymandering. They don't

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subject to gerrymandering.
It could be a really

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interesting issue to kind
of be in the water during

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this election year.
>> But just to be clear,

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the most important thing
for viewers to know is that

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even if a deal somehow got
passed like the Hail Mary

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of all Hail Mary's for
gerrymandering reform, it

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maps. The next time this
would come up would be

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redistricting in 2032 after
the 30 census. So these

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maps would be locked in
place. The only way they're

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going to change, barring
the Wisconsin Supreme Court,

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is if Democrats win a
trifecta this fall, then

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they would actually have
one party rule to do what

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we've seen in these other
states. But otherwise, it's

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not going to happen.
>> So what about that other

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case, though? You alluded
to it, Rich. You're

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familiar with this case.
It's been filed by law

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forward. And it just took a
different approach to this

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redistricting question.
>> Yeah, I'd say it's

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slightly different approach.
It's kind of getting at the

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same thing. The the overall
complaint is that the

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districts are designed to
favor incumbents. So that's

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slightly different than the
argument that, well,

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Republicans drew the
districts to favor

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Republicans, but it's in a
lot of ways very similar.

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So that case is proceeding.
The parties in the lawsuit

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seem to be more amicable
with one another. They've

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all agreed on these court
dates that will start in

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2027. So again, that's not
going to result in any

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changes to the
congressional map in

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Wisconsin before November.
And if it's not thrown out

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on the same grounds that
the other case was

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dismissed, it'll be
interesting to see how that

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plays out before the three
judge panel.

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>> Yeah, I would say
there's a pretty good

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chance that we are going to.
While it is not really a

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scheduled thing to do in
2027, I think we're going

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to be talking about this
map in 2027. I mean, we

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just think about what wins
elections in Wisconsin or

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anywhere from a party's
perspective. Well, you got

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You still have to have that.
You got to have a message.

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Voters like you got to have
money. But what is maybe

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more powerful than all of
those lines and districts

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that favor you, you change
the math because you can't

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win in a district where you
have those other three. If

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the voters are tilted to
the other side. So I think

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in this hyper partizan era,
they're definitely going to

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be talking about this in
2027, whether it is in the

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legislature with Democrats
in power or the Supreme

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Court, where A43 majority
for Liberals now could

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potentially be five two
next year, we just don't

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know. So I think that's
something that like,

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obviously is going to be on
our radar for a while.

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>> Redistricting is always
in play in Wisconsin, and

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it'll never be a topic that
we're not interested in.

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It's not not not relevant.
>> That's right. We don't

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have to wait for the next
census. I'm feeling so from

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voting maps to voting rich,
there was also this big

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executive order from
President Trump this week

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dealing with mail in voting.
What did the president call

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for there?
>> He called for some very

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sweeping changes,
essentially a federal

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overhaul and a lot more
participation from the

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regard to voting lists and
and absentee voting. So the

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executive order directs
federal agencies to create

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lists of U.S. citizens who
are eligible, eligible to

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vote in every state,
including Wisconsin. And

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then it also directs the
U.S. Postal Service to not

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send any mail in ballots to
people who aren't on those

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lists, and it would just
give the President Donald

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Trump's administration a
lot of power over who gets

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to vote and who doesn't. So
it's likely to wind up in

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court. In fact, a lawsuit
has already been filed.

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There's a lot of questions
about whether the president

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can can do this. And that's
what we're going to see the

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different parties in the
lawsuit argue. So it's it's

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a big change that's been
proposed, but it's just an

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executive order. So it
doesn't carry the same kind

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of weight as a
congressional act or

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something like that.
>> So I think what a lot of

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people would be rightfully
wondering is, is this going

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to happen? Is this
something that is likely to

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happen in Wisconsin
specifically?

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>> The first thing I always
look at when these kind of

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things come out of Trump
White House specifically is

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what is the reaction for
politicians in Wisconsin?

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We saw universally all the
Democrats, including

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Governor Evers, use a
profanity online to

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describe his reaction to
this. And we didn't see

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anything from Republicans.
And if this had a prayer or

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a chance of actually being
legal or valid in Wisconsin,

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there would have been some
of the usual Trump

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supporting Republicans that
would have come out and

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said, yes, thank you,
President Trump. It's about

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time. I didn't see any of
that. Maybe somewhere it

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was put out and I missed it.
But the overall reaction

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was a lot of crickets from
Republicans. That signals

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most election observers
not legal in Wisconsin.

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Unenforceable in Wisconsin
would remove the right to

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00:11:05,465 --> 00:11:08,001
vote for absentee ballots.
We have. You can register

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on day of. There's just so
many things that do not

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apply to how Wisconsin
elections are run, barring

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the fact that it's not even
legal constitutionally

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across the rest of the
country. According to every

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election expert that we
ever talked to. I mean,

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Shawn, you've covered this
just as long. It's not

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possible for the federal
government to dictate how

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elections are run. That's
done by the states.

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>> No, I mean, actually,
Rich was just doing an

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interview with a legal
expert and Rich, I'm

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stealing your story here.
But the expert was just

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reading from their phone
the section of the

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Constitution that says,
basically, this is a right

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that belongs to states.
Anya, there was an order

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this week, though not from
the president, from the

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United States Supreme Court,
that overturned a

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conversion therapy ban in
Colorado. We have a

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conversion therapy ban in
Wisconsin. What does that

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U.S. Supreme Court decision
mean for us here?

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00:12:01,288 --> 00:12:04,157
>> Yeah, so this is kind of
there's sort of two levels

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at which this decision kind
of functions in Wisconsin.

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So to go back in time a
little bit last summer,

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there was this big
Wisconsin state Supreme

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Court decision. That is the
reason that we have this

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statewide conversion
therapy ban, but it is an

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administrative rule. It's
not a law. And so kind of

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putting aside the
conversation around what

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that did for the balance of
powers, it was this kind of

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huge decision. One of the
outcomes of that was that

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agencies that want to
impose rules can do so. And

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one of the ones that was
imposed was around

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professional behavior for
therapists and marriage

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counselors. And so
according to the rules of

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their conduct, they cannot
practice conversion therapy,

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which is sort of the
practice of, of counseling

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people towards certain
gender sexual identities.

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So that is the form that
our ban takes. So that's

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different than how it looks
in Colorado. All of which

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is to say that the answer
of how this affects us in

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Wisconsin is it really
depends on who you ask. So

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according to the governor's
office and the governor

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supports this ban on
conversion therapy, the ban

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here is still in place
according sort of pending

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litigation was kind of the
the, you know, tempering of

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that. And then I spoke to
conservative kind of

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supporters of overturning
bans on this, including at

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the Wisconsin Institute for
Law and Liberty. And they

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said, well, as soon as the
lawsuit is filed, you know,

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that will go after the
Wisconsin ban. And so the

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question is, is Will going
to file that lawsuit? So

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right now it seems to be on
the books. And also we have

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many local versions of
these laws around Wisconsin.

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But sort of how soon will
this be then challenged

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here in the state? That
sort of the big question.

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>> But definitely it
carries more weight than

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your average executive
order, I suppose, because

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they are the court of last
resort.

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>> And yeah, and they said
that these types of bans

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violate a counselor's free
speech. That's a First

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Amendment violation. That's
a very big and it was an 8

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00:13:58,605 --> 00:14:00,407
to 1 decision, right? Even
liberals on the Supreme

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Court found.
>> That what's interesting

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is more likely that would
be filed in federal court,

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which really would take
away the venue of the

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00:14:07,314 --> 00:14:09,082
Liberal majority in
Wisconsin Supreme Court,

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even though it's a state
administrative rule. This

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was a federal court
decision, free speech.

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00:14:13,887 --> 00:14:16,390
First amendment is a
federal right, so they

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don't have to worry about
Wisconsin's Liberals

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00:14:19,126 --> 00:14:21,094
running the court. They can
skip the venue and head

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right to Madison and
federal court.

299
00:14:23,130 --> 00:14:25,566
>> Sure. So we got to talk
about our court, though,

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because we have an election
on Tuesday. By the time we

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do the show next week,
we're going to know who the

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00:14:31,772 --> 00:14:33,707
next justice is. There were
some fundraising numbers

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00:14:33,774 --> 00:14:38,412
out this week. Rich, as we
wind up this campaign, what

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00:14:38,478 --> 00:14:42,716
story did they tell?
>> Well, they told that

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00:14:42,783 --> 00:14:45,619
Liberal appeals court
justice excuse me, Liberal

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00:14:45,686 --> 00:14:48,822
Appeals Court Judge Chris
Taylor is continuing to

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00:14:48,889 --> 00:14:51,725
really pull ahead in terms
of fundraising over

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00:14:51,792 --> 00:14:55,662
conservative appeals.
Justice Judge Maria Lazar.

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00:14:55,729 --> 00:14:58,298
So Taylor, in this last
reporting period, raised

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four times as much as Lazar.
She also got donations from

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00:15:03,070 --> 00:15:07,241
around 20,000 more than
20,000 people. Lazar

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00:15:07,307 --> 00:15:11,879
donations came from about
six 700 people. So a big

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00:15:12,579 --> 00:15:16,283
discrepancy there. Also,
Taylor really outspent

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00:15:16,350 --> 00:15:19,152
Lazar this time. So the
numbers actually represent

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00:15:19,219 --> 00:15:22,055
an improvement for Lazar
compared to the last

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00:15:22,122 --> 00:15:25,225
reporting period that ended
at the end of last year,

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00:15:25,292 --> 00:15:28,829
which was a 10 to 1 gap
with Taylor in the lead,

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00:15:28,896 --> 00:15:31,198
but still not the kind of
numbers you want to have

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00:15:31,265 --> 00:15:34,234
with a, you know, days
before the election.

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00:15:34,301 --> 00:15:36,737
>> And some money coming to
the candidates from the

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00:15:36,803 --> 00:15:39,773
political parties. Zac,
you've done some reporting

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00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:43,277
on this. One of these
people is going to be a

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00:15:43,343 --> 00:15:46,213
justice very soon, and they
will have that political

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00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,249
donation basically on their
resume. Are they going to

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have to step down when
these parties have business

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00:15:51,885 --> 00:15:54,555
before the court?
>> The short answer is no.

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00:15:54,621 --> 00:15:57,291
And there are two different
courts that have said that

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00:15:57,357 --> 00:15:59,960
is the reason, the first of
which is the Wisconsin

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00:16:00,027 --> 00:16:02,296
Supreme Court. And when the
conservatives ruled the

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00:16:02,362 --> 00:16:05,465
court about a little more
than a decade ago, they put

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00:16:05,532 --> 00:16:07,568
in place the recusal
standard that still governs

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00:16:07,634 --> 00:16:09,703
the court. That says just
because you received a

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00:16:09,770 --> 00:16:12,639
campaign donation does not
mean that you are biased in

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00:16:12,706 --> 00:16:15,609
part for that party. Part
of that reason, the

335
00:16:15,676 --> 00:16:17,811
rationale was, well, what
if your opponent donates

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00:16:17,878 --> 00:16:20,681
money to you and then tries
to kick you off the case?

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00:16:20,747 --> 00:16:23,684
Another one is the United
States Supreme Court has

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00:16:23,750 --> 00:16:26,053
similar rulings that have
been applied multiple times

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00:16:26,119 --> 00:16:28,722
that say that just because
you received a campaign

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00:16:28,789 --> 00:16:30,958
donation does not mean you
have to step down. This has

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00:16:31,024 --> 00:16:33,627
been tried repeatedly.
They've Republicans have

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00:16:33,694 --> 00:16:35,863
gone after Janet
Protasiewicz multiple times,

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00:16:35,929 --> 00:16:38,532
including on redistricting
cases over and over because

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00:16:38,599 --> 00:16:41,201
of the donations she got.
And over and over, no one

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00:16:41,268 --> 00:16:44,538
has been stepping down over
this in Wisconsin.

346
00:16:44,605 --> 00:16:47,341
>> You know, I'm curious,
Anya, the both parties, we

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00:16:47,407 --> 00:16:49,810
said gave money to the
candidates. Democrats gave

348
00:16:49,877 --> 00:16:53,080
more. But in the past,
they've given a lot more.

349
00:16:53,146 --> 00:16:55,516
What can we read into the
fact that they're deciding

350
00:16:55,582 --> 00:16:58,519
to not deem this the
election of all elections

351
00:16:58,585 --> 00:17:00,988
and pouring all resources
into it the way that they

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00:17:01,054 --> 00:17:03,590
did in the Protasiewicz
race or the Crawford race?

353
00:17:03,657 --> 00:17:05,826
>> Yeah. I mean, we are
used to kind of hearing

354
00:17:05,893 --> 00:17:07,861
that level of language
around both the Supreme

355
00:17:07,928 --> 00:17:09,763
Court elections and then
also various national

356
00:17:09,830 --> 00:17:12,666
elections.
most important of our lives.

357
00:17:12,733 --> 00:17:14,902
>> Exactly. But this one,
November is actually

358
00:17:14,968 --> 00:17:16,937
probably the most important
of our lives. And maybe the

359
00:17:17,004 --> 00:17:20,407
Democrats want to kind of
keep that messaging for the

360
00:17:20,474 --> 00:17:22,376
midterms. And so kind of
stepping back and maybe

361
00:17:22,442 --> 00:17:24,778
they're really confident
about their contender this

362
00:17:24,845 --> 00:17:27,281
time. The stakes are not as
high. Liberals will hold a

363
00:17:27,347 --> 00:17:30,083
majority no matter who wins.
And so why not kind of keep

364
00:17:30,150 --> 00:17:32,186
those resources in the bank
for November?

365
00:17:32,252 --> 00:17:34,354
>> Zac, you described it as
kind of they're making a

366
00:17:34,421 --> 00:17:36,690
bet. Essentially.
>> They're hedging their

367
00:17:36,757 --> 00:17:39,326
bet that they don't have to
invest any more to secure

368
00:17:39,393 --> 00:17:41,762
this win. I think you
pointed out perfectly that

369
00:17:41,828 --> 00:17:44,565
even if they lose the hedge
on that bet, somehow they

370
00:17:44,631 --> 00:17:47,134
still maintain the majority.
But the incentives aren't

371
00:17:47,201 --> 00:17:50,270
as high. And seeing the
incumbent Republicans or

372
00:17:50,337 --> 00:17:51,905
conservatives leave this
race repeatedly shows they

373
00:17:51,972 --> 00:17:53,807
don't believe the same
either.

374
00:17:53,874 --> 00:17:56,276
>> Sure. Well, that's all
the time we have for today.

375
00:17:56,343 --> 00:17:59,213
Thanks for joining us for
this week's Inside

376
00:17:59,279 --> 00:18:01,882
Wisconsin Politics. Be sure
to follow us on PBS

377
00:18:01,949 --> 00:18:05,419
Wisconsin. Org npr.org,
YouTube or wherever you get

378
00:18:05,485 --> 00:18:07,154
your podcasts.
