% >> 53 DAYS OUT FROM THE NOVEMBER
% ELECTION AND IT'S ANYBODY'S
% RACE.
% THE LATEST POLL SHOWING IT
% NECK-AND-NECK FOR U.S. SENATE
% AND WISCONSIN GOVERNOR.
% MARQUETTE LAW SCHOOL POLL
% DIRECTOR CHARLES FRANKLY IS HERE
% WITH HIS RESULTS RELEASED THIS
% WEEK.
% AND HI, CHARLES.
% >> GOOD TO BE HERE.
% >> SO THIS SURE IS A NAIL-BITER.
% >> AS IT OFTEN IS IN WISCONSIN.
% AFTER SEEING A LITTLE BIT OF A
% LEAD FOR BARNES IN THE SENATE
% RACE, THAT'S NOW TIGHTENED TO A
% ONE-POINT JOHNSON LEAD AND IN
% THE GOVERNOR'S RACE, A LITTLE
% TIGHTENING FROM A 4-POINT EVERS
% LEAD TO A 3-POINT LEAD, ALL
% INSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR.
% >> LET'S GO BACK TO THE U.S.
% SENATE RACE AND AS YOU JUST
% SUGGESTED, IN AUGUST BARNES WAS
% 7 POINTS AHEAD.
% WHAT HAPPENED THERE IN SUCH A
% SHORT TIME?
% >> WELL, I THINK IT WAS THE
% POSITIVE SIDE OF THE PRIMARY WIN
% THAT MANDELA BARNES HAD A STRONG
% PRIMARY, THREE OF HIS OPPONENTS
% DROPPED OUT AND ENDORSED HIM,
% THE WINS THE PRIMARY EASILY.
% AND SO YOU GET A BUMP FROM THAT.
% BUT WHILE DEMOCRATIC VOTERS
% ESPECIALLY HAD A VERY POSITIVE
% VIEW OF HIM AND SO DID
% INDEPENDENTS, THERE WAS 41%
% WITHOUT AN OPINION OF HIM IN
% AUGUST.
% AND NOW IT'S NOT THE PRIMARY,
% WELCOME TO THE NFL, IT'S TIME
% FOR GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN
% ADVERTISEMENTS, AND I THINK
% THAT'S PRETTY CLEARLY TAKEN A
% TOLL.
% I DON'T THINK IT'S UNEXPECTED
% WHEN YOU HAVE 40% WHO DON'T
% KNOW, YOU'RE GOING TO BE
% VULNERABLE TO THAT.
% NOW SOME OF THAT INITIAL IMPACT
% HAS HAPPENED, WE HAVE A VERY
% TIGHT RACE, AND WE'LL SEE WHAT
% HAPPENS IN THOSE LAST -- WHAT
% DID YOU SAY, 53 DAYS.
% >> LET'S GO BACK THEN TO THE
% GOVERNOR'S RACE.
% 47% OF YOUR POLL RESPONDENTS
% SUPPORT TONY EVERS, 44% FAVOR
% TIM MICHELS, BUT THEN THERE'S
% THIS INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE OUT
% THERE WITH 5%.
% HOW DANGEROUS IS THAT FOR EITHER
% ONE OF THESE CAMPAIGNS?
% >> WELL, HER NAME WILL BE ON THE
% BALLOT.
% LOOK, WHAT WE SEE WITH
% INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES IS THEY
% REFLECT -- THEIR SUPPORT
% REFLECTS THE DISAFFECTION FOR
% THE TWO MAJOR PARTY CANDIDATES.
% AND PEOPLE WHO DON'T LIKE EITHER
% EVERS OR MICHELS HAVE A NAME
% THERE THAT THEY CAN PICK ON THE
% SURVEY.
% NOW, THEY'LL HAVE THAT NAME ON
% THE BALLOT IN NOVEMBER AS WELL.
% USUALLY INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES
% GET 1% OR LESS BY NOVEMBER.
% AND IN OUR POLLING, WE SEE THEM
% POLL IN THE MID SINGLE DIGITS IN
% AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER AND NARROW
% DOWN TO LOW SINGLE DIGITS AT THE
% END OF THE MONTH -- OR THE
% CAMPAIGN.
% SUSPENDING HER CAMPAIGN WASN'T A
% VERY VISIBLE CAMPAIGN TO BEGIN
% WITH, I THINK IT WILL KIND OF
% DISAPPEAR, BUT IT ALSO IS AN
% INDICATOR THAT 7%, 5% ARE NOT
% THAT THRILLED WITH THE MAJOR
% PARTIES RIGHT NOW.
% >> YOU HAVE A NEW QUESTION ON
% CRIME, WHICH IS IN THE TOP FIVE
% FOR BOTH PARTIES, BUT YOUR
% QUESTION THAT WE LOOKED AT GOES
% MORE GRANULAR.
% YOU ASKED, DO YOU FEEL SAFE FROM
% CRIME WHEN GOING ABOUT YOUR
% DAILY ACTIVITIES OR ARE YOU
% WORRIED ABOUT YOUR SAFETY?
% PEOPLE IN THE CITY OF MILWAUKEE
% ARE THE MOST WORRIED ABOUT THEIR
% SAFETY BY A WIDE MARGIN.
% IS THIS KIND OF RESPONSE WHAT
% MAKES CRIME SUCH A SALIENT ISSUE
% FOR REPUBLICANS PARTICULARLY WHO
% ARE HITTING DEMOCRATS SUPER HARD
% ON THIS?%>> I THINK THERE'S A
CONTRAST
% HERE THAT ON THE QUESTION ABOUT
% HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU ABOUT
% CRIME, REPUBLICANS ARE QUITE
% CONCERNED.
% BUT ACROSS PERSONAL EXPERIENCE,
% DO YOU FEEL SAFE OR NOT, THERE'S
% JUST NO PARTY DIFFERENCE ON THAT
% QUESTION.
% AND SO I THINK WHAT WE SEE IS
% THE USE OF CRIME OR THE WAY THAT
% PEOPLE WORRY ABOUT CRIME AS AN
% ISSUE THAT'S SOMEWHAT DIVORCED
% FROM THEIR PERSONAL EXPERIENCES,
% AND THAT, I THINK, IS THE MAIN
% THING.
% WE ALSO SEE THAT CITY RESIDENTS
% WORRY IN THEIR DAILY LIVES AND
% ARE QUITE CONCERNED.
% SUBURBAN MILWAUKEE RESIDENTS
% DON'T WORRY MUCH IN THEIR DAILY
% LIVES BUT ARE ALMOST AS
% CONCERNED AS CITY RESIDENTS, AND
% THEN WHEN YOU MOVE TO MADISON,
% GREEN BAY, LA CROSSE, EAU
% CLAIRE, THE NORTH OF THE STATE,
% CONCERN AND PERSONAL FEAR GOES
% WAY DOWN.
% SO MOST OF THE STATE, PEOPLE
% FEEL PRETTY SAFE IN THEIR DAILY
% LIVES AND AREN'T AS CONCERNED,
% BUT IN THE CITY AND THE SUBURBS
% AROUND MILWAUKEE, CONCERN IS
% HIGH IN BOTH AND PERSONAL
% CONCERN, PERSONAL FEAR IS
% ESPECIALLY HIGH IN THE CITY,
% WHERE IT'S ABOUT A 50/50 SPLIT.
% >> LET'S GO TO THE ISSUE OF
% ABORTION.%YOU ASKED IN THIS
POLL QUESTION,
% DO YOU THINK WISCONSIN SHOULD OR
% SHOULD NOT ALLOW A WOMAN TO
% OBTAIN A LEGAL ABORTION IF SHE
% BECAME PREGNANT AS A RESULT OF A
% RAPE O OR INCEST?
% OVERALL, 83 PEST SAID WISCONSIN
% SHOULD ALLOW WITH EVEN 70% OF
% REPUBLICANS SAYING YES AND ALSO
% A TOTAL OF 63% OF RESPONDENTS,
% INCLUDING REPUBLICANS, OPPOSE
% THE OVERTURNING OF ROE V. WADE.
% IS THIS WHY ABORTION IS PROVING
% TO BE A DIFFICULT ISSUE FOR
% REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES?
% >> I THINK IT CLEARLY IS.
% THIS IS WHERE BEING PRO-LIFE HAS
% NOT NECESSARILY MEANT WANTING
% THESE EXTREMELY SEVERE
% RESTRICTIONS WITHOUT EXCEPTIONS
% FOR RAPE AND INCEST.
% WE ADDED THAT QUESTION PRECISELY
% BECAUSE IT'S A REAL LEGAL ISSUE
% BEFORE THE STATE RIGHT NOW WITH
% OUR LAW FROM 1849 AND WE DON'T
% KNOW WHAT WILL GO INTO EFFECT.
% I DO THINK IT SHOWS THAT THERE'S
% BROAD SUPPORT ACROSS PARTY FOR
% RAPE AND INCEST EXCEPTIONS.
% THE CHALLENGE FOR LAWMAKERS AND
% ESPECIALLY REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS
% IS HOW TO DEAL WITH THAT PUBLIC
% OPINION WHEN YOU'VE ALSO SPENT A
% CAREER BEING DEDICATED TO
% PRO-LIFE POSITIONS.
% IT'S A DILEMMA FOR THEM QUITE A
% BIT NOW HERE IN THE STATE AND
% ELSEWHERE.%>> ALL RIGHT, CHAR
LES FRANKLIN,